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Best practices for moving from correlation to causation in ecological research

  • Hannah E. Correia
  • , Laura E. Dee
  • , Jarrett E.K. Byrnes
  • , John R. Fieberg
  • , Marie Josée Fortin
  • , Clark Glymour
  • , Jakob Runge
  • , Bill Shipley
  • , Ilya Shpitser
  • , Katherine J. Siegel
  • , George Sugihara
  • , Betsy von Holle
  • , Paul J. Ferraro
  • Johns Hopkins University
  • University of North Dakota
  • University of Colorado Boulder
  • University of Minnesota Twin Cities
  • University of Toronto
  • Carnegie Mellon University
  • University of Potsdam
  • Technical University of Berlin
  • Université de Sherbrooke
  • University of California at San Diego
  • George Washington University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

In ecology, causal questions are ubiquitous, yet the literature describing systematic approaches to answering these questions is vast and fragmented across different traditions (e.g., randomization, structural equation modeling, convergent cross mapping). In our Perspective, we connect the causal assumptions, tasks, frameworks, and methods across these traditions, thereby providing a synthesis of the concepts and methodological advances for detecting and quantifying causal relationships in ecological systems. Through a newly developed workflow, we emphasize how ecologists’ choices among empirical approaches are guided by the pre-existing knowledge that ecologists have and the causal assumptions that ecologists are willing to make.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1981
JournalNature Communications
Volume17
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2026

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

  • General Chemistry
  • General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General
  • General Physics and Astronomy

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